ET transformation to post-ET myelofibrosis (~5-10% over 15 years) or to AML / MDS (rare ~...
Deterministic view of the source YAML entity. Clinical authority remains with the cited source IDs and reviewer sign-off state.
| ID | RF-ET-TRANSFORMATION-PROGRESSION |
|---|---|
| Type | Red flag |
| Status | reviewed 2026-04-25 | pending_clinical_signoff |
| Diseases | DIS-ET |
| Sources | SRC-ESMO-MPN-2015 SRC-NCCN-MPN-2025 |
Red Flag Origin
| Definition | ET transformation to post-ET myelofibrosis (~5-10% over 15 years) or to AML / MDS (rare ~1-5%): rising LDH, new splenomegaly, leukoerythroblastic smear, increasing reticulin fibrosis on trephine, blast appearance — re-stage, switch to MF or AML algorithm |
|---|---|
| Clinical direction | intensify |
| Category | transformation-progression |
| Shifts algorithm | ALGO-ET-1L |
Trigger Logic
{
"any_of": [
{
"finding": "post_et_mf_transformation",
"value": true
},
{
"finding": "post_et_aml_transformation",
"value": true
},
{
"comparator": ">=",
"finding": "blasts_pb_pct",
"threshold": 5
},
{
"comparator": ">=",
"finding": "blasts_bm_pct",
"threshold": 5
},
{
"finding": "rapid_splenomegaly_progression",
"value": true
},
{
"finding": "leukoerythroblastic_smear",
"value": true
}
],
"type": "composite"
}
Notes
Triggers re-route from ET 1L algorithm to PMF algorithm (post-ET MF) or AML algorithm (post-ET AML / MDS). Annual incidence is low; risk rises with disease duration + JAK2-mutation status + exposure to cytoreduction (especially anagrelide vs HU per PT-1). STUB — requires clinical co-lead signoff.
Used By
Algorithms
ALGO-ET-1L- ALGO-ET-1L
Indications
IND-ET-2L-ANAGRELIDE- IND-ET-2L-ANAGRELIDE