Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer: biomarker and sequencing reasoning
Deterministic learning chapter over OpenOnco KB entities, synthetic cases, and source records.
Learning objectives
- Identify the germline / somatic HRR panel, prior-line history, and disease-burden inputs needed before mCRPC first-line treatment selection.
- Explain why ARPI continuation reasoning, BRCA/HRR routing to a PARP inhibitor, and Lu-177-PSMA / cabazitaxel options sit on a sequencing arc rather than a single 1L decision.
- Recognize emergency red flags — cord compression, marrow failure, transformation — that change the treatment timeline without changing the biomarker map.
At a glance
- Castration resistance is defined by biochemical or radiographic progression on adequate testosterone suppression — prior ARPI use shapes every downstream choice.
- Germline and tumor HRR panel (BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, CHEK2, CDK12, PALB2) is treated as a treatment-defining test, not an optional add-on.
- ARPI-naive mCRPC routes to abiraterone or enzalutamide; ARPI-resistant disease pulls PARP-inhibitor (BRCA-/HRR-driven) and Lu-177-PSMA reasoning into the conversation.
- Docetaxel and cabazitaxel remain treatment-defining for chemotherapy-fit patients across lines; CARD established cabazitaxel after prior docetaxel + ARPI progression.
- This chapter is an OpenOnco-authored learning aid, not official ESMO content or a CME-credit activity.
Diagnostic and biomarker minimum
Castration resistance is established by biochemical (PSA rise) or radiographic progression on adequate testosterone suppression. Before drafting any first-line mCRPC plan the chapter expects baseline PSA kinetics, conventional imaging plus PSMA-PET where access permits, baseline organ function, a documented prior-line history (ARPI exposure in mHSPC versus mCRPC matters), and germline + tumor HRR panel testing covering BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, CHEK2, CDK12, and PALB2. The HRR panel is treatment-defining in this disease — not an optional add-on — because PARP-inhibitor routing depends on it.
Linked entities
DIS-PROSTATEProstate adenocarcinomadiseasesBIO-PSAProstate-specific antigenbiomarkersBIO-BRCA1-BRCA2-GERMLINEGermline BRCA1/BRCA2 mutationbiomarkersBIO-HRR-PANELHRR gene panel statusbiomarkersTEST-PSA-SERUMSerum PSAtestsTEST-PSMA-PETPSMA-PET/CT (Ga-68 or F-18)testsTEST-GERMLINE-BRCA-PANELGermline BRCA1/2 + HRR panel sequencingtestsSection sources
SRC-NCCN-PROSTATE-2025NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines — Prostate CancerSRC-ESMO-PROSTATE-2024ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline on Prostate Cancer
First-line decision logic at mCRPC
OpenOnco splits the first-line mCRPC decision by prior ARPI exposure. ARPI-naive mCRPC routes to abiraterone or enzalutamide; ARPI-resistant disease pulls PARP-inhibitor reasoning into the canonical first option when a BRCA1/2 mutation (or, depending on the indication, a broader HRR alteration) is present. Patients without an actionable HRR alteration who have already received an ARPI move toward docetaxel chemotherapy at the next decision point. The transition from mHSPC to mCRPC is the moment when a fresh HRR result changes the algorithm — older germline-only tests should be repeated with tumor sequencing if the original result was negative.
Linked entities
ALGO-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1LALGO-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1LalgorithmsIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1L-ARPIIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1L-ARPIindicationsIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1L-PARPIIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-1L-PARPIindicationsRF-PAN-BRCA-SOMATIC-PARPI-CANDIDATESomatic (tumor-only) BRCA1 or BRCA2 pathogenic variant identified on tumor NGS — pan-tumor PARPi-candidate signal. Disease applicability varies: ovarian (PAOLA-1, SOLO-1 — somatic BRCA pooled with germline in HRD-positive maintenance indication), mCRPC (PROfound cohort-A — olaparib mPFS 7.4 vs 3.6 mo, HR 0.34, somatic + germline pooled), pancreatic PDAC (POLO label is germline-only — somatic BRCA falls to off-label / NCCN "consider" tier), breast (OlympiAD / EMBRACA / OlympiA labels are germline-only — somatic BRCA breast remains investigational). Confirm somatic vs germline status via paired germline NGS before cascade-testing decisions (~40% of tumor-only "BRCA" calls are in fact germline per ASCO/CAP guidance).
redflagsSection sources
SRC-PROFOUND-DEBONO-2020Olaparib for Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate CancerSRC-NCCN-PROSTATE-2025NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines — Prostate Cancer
Second-line sequencing — taxanes, Lu-177-PSMA, and beyond
After progression on the first mCRPC line the chapter expects the learner to weigh cabazitaxel, Lu-177-PSMA, and radium-223 against each other. CARD established cabazitaxel after sequential ARPI + docetaxel exposure. Lu-177-PSMA requires PSMA-PET-positive disease and prior taxane / ARPI exposure per VISION. Radium-223 is reserved for symptomatic bone-predominant disease without visceral metastases (ALSYMPCA). The OpenOnco model surfaces all three as parallel options and uses red flags (visceral burden, transformation, marrow reserve) to narrow the choice.
Linked entities
ALGO-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2LALGO-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2LalgorithmsIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-CABAZITAXELIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-CABAZITAXELindicationsIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-LU-PSMAIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-LU-PSMAindicationsIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-DOCETAXELIND-PROSTATE-MCRPC-2L-DOCETAXELindicationsRF-PROSTATE-TRANSFORMATION-PROGRESSIONSpinal cord compression OR rapid PSA doubling time (<3 months) OR new visceral metastases — emergency or aggressive-progression flag requiring urgent intervention or treatment intensification.redflagsSection sources
SRC-CARD-DE-BONO-2019Olaparib for Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate CancerSRC-ALSYMPCA-PARKER-2013Alpha Emitter Radium-223 and Survival in Metastatic Prostate CancerSRC-NCCN-PROSTATE-2025NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines — Prostate Cancer
Common traps
Do not treat regimen selection as the whole task. Cord compression is a neuro-oncologic emergency that interrupts sequencing decisions; AR-V7 detection in some assays suggests reduced ARPI sensitivity but does not replace the HRR-driven branch; transformation to neuroendocrine prostate cancer changes the chemotherapy backbone and prognosis; and germline BRCA mutations require cascade-testing counseling and contraception planning for younger partners. None of these change the immediate biomarker map but missing them changes the safety plan and the trajectory of care.
Linked entities
RF-PROSTATE-CORD-COMPRESSIONMetastatic prostate cancer with malignant epidural spinal cord compression (MESCC): new motor deficit, sensory level, cauda equina syndrome, severe back pain with vertebral metastasis — prostate is the most common solid tumor cause of MESCCredflagsRF-PROSTATE-AR-V7-ARSI-RESISTANCEAR-V7 (androgen receptor splice variant 7) detected in CTCs / ctDNA in mCRPC — predictive marker of ARSI (abiraterone, enzalutamide, apalutamide, darolutamide) failure. PROPHECY (Antonarakis 2019): AR-V7-positive on Epic CTC IHC associated with HR ~3 for inferior PFS/OS on ARSI vs AR-V7-negative; switch to taxane (docetaxel, cabazitaxel) recovers responses. INFORMATIONAL — FDA has NOT approved any therapy decision keyed on AR-V7; surfaces in MDT brief to flag patients in whom ARSI-after-ARSI is unlikely to work.
redflagsRF-PROSTATE-TRANSFORMATION-PROGRESSIONSpinal cord compression OR rapid PSA doubling time (<3 months) OR new visceral metastases — emergency or aggressive-progression flag requiring urgent intervention or treatment intensification.redflagsBIO-AR-V7AR-V7biomarkersSection sources
SRC-NCCN-PROSTATE-2025NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines — Prostate CancerSRC-ESMO-PROSTATE-2024ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline on Prostate Cancer
Worked synthetic cases
patient_prostate_mcrpc_brca_olaparib_profoundBRCA-mutant mCRPC routed to a PARP inhibitor (PROfound) - HRR-defined PARP-inhibitor routing, post-ARPI sequencing examples/patient_prostate_mcrpc_brca_olaparib_profound.json
Practice questions
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